@Article{TorresMare:2014:CMCMMu,
               author = "Torres, Roger Rodrigues and Marengo, Jose Antonio",
          affiliation = "{Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)}",
                title = "Climate change hotspots over South America: from CMIP3 to CMIP5 
                         multi-model datasets",
              journal = "Theoretical and Applied Climatology",
                 year = "2014",
               volume = "1",
               number = "1",
                pages = "1--9",
             keywords = "climate, South America.",
             abstract = "This study identifies possible hotspots of climate change in South 
                         America through an examination of the spatial pattern of the 
                         Regional Climate Change Index (RCCI) over the region by the end of 
                         the twenty-first century. The RCCI is a qualitative index that can 
                         synthesize a large number of climate model projections, and it is 
                         suitable for identifying those regions where climate change could 
                         be more pronounced in a warmer climate. The reliability and uncer- 
                         tainties of the results are evaluated by using numerous state- 
                         of-the-art general circulation models (GCMs) and forcing scenarios 
                         from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phases 3 and 5. The 
                         results show that southern Amazonia and the central-western region 
                         and western portion of Minas Gerais state in Brazil are persistent 
                         climate change hotspots through different forcing scenarios and 
                         GCM datasets. In general, as the scenarios vary from low- to 
                         high-level forcing, the area of high values of RCCI increase and 
                         the magnitude intensify from central-western and southeast Brazil 
                         to north- west South America. In general, the climatic hotspots 
                         identi- fied in this study are characterized by an increase of 
                         mean surface air temperature, mainly in the austral winter; by an 
                         increase of interannual temperature variability, predominantly in 
                         the austral summer; and by a change in the mean and interannual 
                         variability of precipitation during the austral winter.",
                  doi = "10.1007/s00704-013-1030-x",
                  url = "http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00704-013-1030-x",
                 issn = "0177-798X",
                label = "lattes: 5641165392004404 1 TorresMare:2013:CMCMMu",
             language = "en",
           targetfile = "Torres_Climate.pdf",
        urlaccessdate = "27 abr. 2024"
}